Respawn announces ban totals; nobody can check them — there is no official banned-account list. We publish our own independent detections from the same windows, permanently.
4Announcements
111KOfficial bans
850Our detections
Do they move together?
Official · game-wideOurs · top-750 laddersCorrelation r = -0.38
Each series is scaled to its own peak, so the shapes are comparable. Ours is always far smaller: we only see the top 750 per platform.
AnnouncedWindow (UTC)OfficialOursRatio
Why the gapDifferent populationsRespawn counts every banned account in the game. We only see accounts on the top-750 ranked ladders, a small slice of it.
What mattersThe shape, not the sizeIf both rise and fall together, our detections are tracking the real thing. A correlation near 1 means they do.
When it driftsRatios in amberA window whose ratio is far from the average is worth a look: a wave below the ladder, or a gap in our polling.
Official numbers are entered by hand from Respawn/EA posts (typically @apexlivecomms), each linked to its source. Our detections are counted from the same UTC windows in our ban event log, which also powers the wave archive.